NKE Sales, Multiple to Compress, Analyst Says

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David Evanson and Camilo Lyon

Forbes,com, Spring, 2012

Citing an inventory build and other factors, Canaccord Genuity consumer analyst Camilo Lyon believes a sales slowdown may occur at Nike (NKE) and, in combination with multiple compression, the downside risk to the stock a price of $95. He said:

“Decelerating sales over the next three to four quarters, the potential for excess inventory post the Euro Champs/Olympic sporting events, and unit declines in H2/13 will result in multiple compression. As such, we believe the risk/reward is skewing to the downside.”

He noted, “Over the last 11 years, inventory growth has never outpaced sales growth as much as it has in the last four quarters. This is concerning to us particularly heading into the Olympics and Euro Champs, where we would expect NKE to increase its inventory position.”