Straddle the Apple

posted in: Writing | 0

David Evanson and Oliver Pursche

TheStreet.com, Spring, 2012

NEW YORK (TheStreet) — Not too long ago, Apple(AAPL_) was riding high at about $644 a share. Today, itzzs $578, and under pressure. Has the bubble burst? Hardly.

I feel itzzs important to point out the during the 10% or so correction in AAPL shares, nothing fundamentally has changed at the worldzzs largest technology company. The only thing that may have changed is how you now feel about it, and thatzzs no basis on which to make decisions.

One other blinding grasp of the obvious point I want to make. If AAPL share prices keep rising, you need to buy at ever-higher prices if you want to build a material position in AAPL. This can diminish your ultimate return. However, if you have the opportunity to buy on the dips, and you take it, this strategy can have a significantly positive impact on your ultimate returns, albeit with more risk.

This being tax day, Izzm going to suggest that what the Tax Man taketh away, AAPL giveth in the form of an opportunity to get some of yours back in the long run.

Izzm not going to prattle on about Applezzs many strengths. Therezzs not enough room here. But just to give you a little fortitude, herezzs some points to keep in mind.

AAPL is the pre-eminent technology company of our time and its ability to innovate is still intact, and in fact may be nascent.
Revenue growth is still there, with strong international market expansion possible.
The stock is up ~ 50% year to day and you shouldnzzt expect the same rate going forward.
High beta stocks can easily pull back 20%, so keeping this in mind $520, is, in my mind, the critical level. If you are still nervous and donzzt want to average down, or you just bought the stock, and have limited appetite for unrealized losses, you might consider using an options strategy to help you sleep at night.

Specifically, writing a covered call and using the premium to buy a put is an inexpensive way to partially hedge the position. For example, with Apple trading around $580, and in anticipation of upcoming earnings (April 24), you could write a May 620 Call, netting you a $14 premium and buying a May 550 Put for $18 — if the stock runs you didnzzt see and made an additional 8% from current levels. If the stock collapses, you are out at $550, about 4% below the current price.

One chink in the armor of this strategy is that you need a round lot of at least 100 shares to sell a covered call, or about $58,000 worth. If you donzzt own that much, you can still execute on at least half the strategy by buying the puts. If you are bearish on AAPL, you can hedge your downside. And if you are bullish, youzzll win to by virtue of your long position.